Election 2012: Well – That’s What Happens to a Bunch of White Guys in Blue Suits

“As the Philistine moved closer to attack him, David ran quickly toward the battle line to meet him. Reaching into his bag and taking out a stone, he slung it and struck the Philistine on the forehead. The stone sank into his forehead, and he fell facedown on the ground.

So David triumphed over the Philistine with a sling and a stone; without a sword in his hand he struck down the Philistine and killed him.” ~ 1st Samuel 17:48-50

What in the world does that familiar story have to do with the presidential election? I’ll tell you in just a minute.

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POTUS

Here’s what happened.

Ever been to a football game where the quarterback predictably handed the ball to a running back time after time after time? Slowly, methodically the team trudges down the field and makes its way to the goal line. It’s boring, not real glitzy, and the crowd hates it. It’s almost silent, but oftentimes, damn effective.

While all the white guys in XXL blue suits were standing ’round the country club bar knocking back Long Island Teas and comparing portfolios, a silent, but deadly ground game was going forward. And the white guys in blue suits never heard them coming.

They were Latino, Hispanic, Black and poor white – minorities we call them. And they were standing in early voting lines, getting on buses, carpooling to the polls and calling their friends. In the political world, it’s called GOTV – get out the vote – and it’s a political science that wins most elections and goes very mistakenly unnoticed because it’s quiet.

WHY A SOLID MINORITY BEATS A FRAGMENTED MAJORITY EVERY SINGLE TIME.

It’s actually slap-you-in-the-face-obvious if you just look at the map.

This election happened in California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Florida. What do these states have in common? For one, they hold true to one of our country’s founding principles. They welcome “foreigners” as their own. They embrace diversity. “Give me your tired, your poor,” they say.

And though they may be “minorities” in this country, they are rock-solid together, as one, because they have no other choice.

Oh, how we talk about power of the evangelical Christian right. They’re going to determine this election’s outcome, right? They can’t even agree on the color of the choir robes, much less come together as a body that creates a movement. They haven’t done it since the first century, so why would it happen now? They’re so busy spitting in the eye of freedom of choice, the self-righteousness loses sight of the greater good.

Barack Obama was the most beatable president in recent history. It was Mitt’s to lose, and lose, he did.

Never in the history of social media has a man been so disrespected as the present and future president of the United States. He’s your president today, and is your Commander-in-Chief for the next four years. Suck it up and give your respect. If not, just be quiet, okay?

What does the story of David and Goliath have to do with it all? Only everything.

This country’s solid minority, just beat the fragmented majority like a dog.

From now on, maybe we all should just try to get along.

The majority no longer rules. Get used to it, or do something about it.

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Now the only question that remains is this: Will Chris Christie face Biden or Clinton (Hillary, that is,) in 2016? That race starts now.

stevenwwatkinsAnd by the way, I am a white guy who occasionally wears blue suits.

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Who Won the Debate? Chris Christie, Jeb Bush and 11.5 Million Buckeyes. That’s Who.

Obama Romney debate who won

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mitt romney in debate

I’m not a political commentator, but I sometimes play one on the blog.

If I were, however, that’s the post-debate analysis I’d give my audience this morning following a lively 90-minute mono e mono between President Barack Obama and Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

It’s true. The debate winners weren’t even in the room.

CNN’s Candy Crowley moderated a sometimes lively debate Tuesday night that allowed Obama and Romney to trade some effective jabs. Romney actually had fair momentum during the debate’s first 40 minutes as the topics remained mostly domestic in nature. But as the discussion went abroad, Romney lost his talking points, and the two candidates ultimately finished in a draw.

Best case scenario for either … Obama likely recaptured the tiny percentage of wavering Democrats who were dismayed by his first dismal debate performance. And Romney didn’t lose.

From Romney’s perspective, a November victory is “all about the economy, stupid.” He should have never let his message go outside the 50 states.

Today, partisan political followers will predictably declare victory for their man. MSNBC will make Obama the clear winner. FOX will say Romney hammered effectively on all points.

Objectively, however, the debate was a draw, and here’s what that means.

ohio electoral votesThe election’s a foregone conclusion in at least 45 of 50 states. Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania and Colorado all still carry weight, but the big chips are in Ohio.

More than 11 million Buckeyes will determine the next president of the United States.

Make a conscious effort over the next two weeks to see how many times “Ohio” is mentioned in the stump speeches. You’ll see. The political promises now being made to Ohio’s political leadership are pork barrel politics at their best, or worst, however you may choose to view it. But Ohio carries all the chips. The pot of gold at the end of the rainbow lies somewhere between Akron and Toledo.

At this point, the two might as well go to Ohio, fight it out in a duel, and let the last man standing take the White House.

And there’s also this.

No doubt Romney gained momentum immediately after the first presidential debate. There was a certain pressure last night on both candidates. Romney needed to show his first performance wasn’t a one-time fluke. The president needed to show he still had some fire in his belly.

Whatever the talking heads say today, the debate was a draw. A draw last night, or any future draws for that matter, equate to four more years for Obama. Without a knockout that leaves Obama down for the count, Romney loses. It could happen, but time’s running out.

And there’s this.Chris Christie for president

If you accept the notions I’ve proposed above, here’s the future significance. Throughout last night’s debate, you could almost hear he squeaky wheels of two new presidential campaigns beginning to turn.

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush are the Republican party’s next big sticks. Publicly, they’ll support the party guy for the next two weeks, but never doubt for a moment they’re waiting in the wings for an Obama victory that immediately propels them both to front-runner status in 2016.

will jeb bush run for presidentThink you’ll get a break from presidential politics when all this is put to bed in a few more days?

Think again.

The party’s just getting started.

Agree? Disagree? Drop a comment. Your opinion’s welcome here.

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Mitt Romney’s Quotable Quotes

ON TERMINATION POLICY:

“I like being able to fire people who provide services to me.” – using an unfortunate choice of words while advocating for consumer choice in health insurance plans (January 2012)

ON THE LESS FORTUNATE:quotes by mitt romney

“I’m not concerned about the very poor. We have a safety net there.” — (January 2012)

ON DIVERSITY:

“My dad, as you probably know, was the governor of Michigan and was the head of a car company. But he was born in Mexico… and had he been born of, uh, Mexican parents, I’d have a better shot at winning this. But he was unfortunately born to Americans living in Mexico. He lived there for a number of years. I mean, I say that jokingly, but it would be helpful to be Latino.” – in leaked comments from a Florida fundraiser, May 17 2012

ON HIS UNFORTUNATE LIFE CIRCUMSTANCES:

“I should tell my story. I’m also unemployed.” — speaking in 2011 to unemployed people in Florida. Romney’s net worth is over $200 million.

ON PATRIOTIC PHILOSOPHY:

“I believe in an America where millions of Americans believe in an America that’s the America millions of Americans believe in. That’s the America I love.” – (January 2012)

ON ANN:

“We use Ann sparingly right now so that people don’t get tired of her.” – referring to his wife while speaking to a room of wealthy donors in Florida, May 17, 2012

ON A GOOD NIGHT’S SLEEP:

“I think the best answer is as little as possible.” – when asked what he wears to bed at night, interview with ABC’s “LIVE! with Kelly and Michael,” Sept. 14, 2012

ON MIDDLE-INCOME AMERICA:

“No, middle income is $200,000 to $250,000 and less.” – when questioned by ABC’s  George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America,” as to whether $100,000 is “middle income” on Sept. 14, 2012

ON FAMILY TRANSPORTATION:

“[My wife] drives a couple of Cadillacs.” – campaigning for president in Michigan (February 2012)

ON HOW TO GAMBLE DURING A DEBATE:

“I’ll tell you what, ten-thousand bucks? $10,000 bet?” – attempting to make a wager with Rick Perry during a Republican presidential debate to settle a disagreement about health care (December 2011)

ON HIS LOVE FOR ANIMALS:

“PETA is not happy that my dog likes fresh air.” — in 2007, responding to criticism from People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals following revelations that he had once put the family dog in a carrier and strapped it to the roof of his car during a 12-hour road trip

ON BEING ONE OF THE GUYS:

“I have some friends who are NASCAR team owners.” — after being asked whether he follows NASCAR racing (February 2012)

ON HOW TO GIVE A COMPLIMENT:

“I’m not sure about these cookies. They don’t look like you made them. No, no. They came from the local 7/11 bakery, or whatever.” —Mitt Romney, visiting a local bakery while campaigning in Pittsburgh, PA, April 17, 2012 (The owner of the baker later told MSNBC he was offended by Romney’s remarks.)

ON CAPTURING THE NASCAR VOTE:

“I like those fancy raincoats you bought. Really sprung for the big bucks.” — to a group of NASCAR fans wearing plastic ponchos at the Daytona 500 (February 2012)

ON DOUBLE STANDARDS:

“We have a president, who I think is a nice guy, but he spent too much time at Harvard, perhaps.” — Romney has two Harvard degrees (April 5, 2012)

ON ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY:

“I love this state. The trees are the right height.” — campaigning in Michigan (February 2012)

ON PAYDAY:

“I get speaker’s fees from time to time, but not very much.” — Romney earned $374,000 in speaking fees in one year according to according to his personal financial disclosure (January 2012)

ON STANDING ON HIS RECORD:

“I’m not familiar precisely with what I said, but I’ll stand by what I said, whatever it was.” — (May 17, 2012)

Who is John Boozman? Veterans Need to Know.

FACT: In the United States, a veteran commits suicide every 80 minutes.

U.S. Sen. Fay Boozman votes against veterans.

Arkansas Sen. John Boozman

FACT: Today, one in four veterans is unemployed.

FACT: The total number of employable, but unemployed veterans now stands in excess of 700,000.

FACT: On Wednesday, Senate Republicans blocked the vote on the Veterans Jobs Corps bill that would have infused $1 billion over the next five years to help veterans find jobs in their communities.

FACT: Arkansas Republican Senator John Boozman was one of the leading authors of the Veterans bill.

FACT: Boozman serves on the Senate Veterans Affairs Committee.

FACT: Yesterday, Boozman voted against allowing that bill to come to a vote on the Senate floor. He did so along with three other Republican senators who authored the bill.

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The question is why.

The answer is clear.

It’s called partisan politics and the Romney Effect.

senators who voted against veterans

These four Republican senators authored the Veterans Jobs Corps bill, yet voted against allowing it to come to a vote.

There were no downsides to the Veterans Jobs Corps bill. As a primary author of the legislation, Boozman and others knew that. So why in the world would they vote against a bill that would put veterans, whose 10.2 percent unemployment rate stands well above that of the general civilian population?

This generally bi-partisan bill was a cornerstone of President Obama’s 2012 budget and a highlight of his 2012 State of the Union  Address.

At this late stage in the game with Republican’s likelihood of capturing the White House diminishing daily, the GOP will have nothing to do with anything that might be deemed a presidential success.

It’s like sending our veterans to war all over again.

Veterans Jobs Corps billAnd there is no “Plan B.” This measure won’t come up again for at least another year.

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All potential good aside, Boozman joins dozens of other Republican candidates this week doing everything they can to be anything but Republicans.

The Romney Effect has Republican candidates scrambling to hide from their identity, at least for the next several weeks.

Republican candidates in key swing states such as Wisconsin, Massachussetts, Ohio, Virgina and Nevada now claim no association with Romney after he willingly acknowledged his dismissal of 47 percent of the American population.

“I think there is a broad and growing feeling now that this thing is slipping out of Romney’s hands.” ~ conservative columnist Peggy Noonan

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That’s not the way I view the world. As someone who grew up in tough circumstances, I know that being on public assistance is not a spot anybody wants to be in.” ~ Massachussetts Sen. Scott Brown, who now trails his Democratic opponent Elizabeth Warren.

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“I just don’t view the world the way he (Romney) does.” ~ Nevada Sen. Dean Heller.

Who is Sen. John Boozman? All veterans should remember.

He’s the politician who solicited your vote, then turned his back on you.

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